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Why Inflation, Weak Pound & Recession Are The Perfect Storm For UK Property

Last Thursday, 22 Sept, the Bank of England (BoE) raised interest rates by 0.5 percentage points, to its current 2.25%, to control high inflation. The BoE joins several other central banks around the world who have also increased their bank rates. 

Yet, with the possibility of recession looming ahead, UK property investors remain bullish about the UK property market.  Sounds counter-intuitive, no? Read on to learn the the Top 3 Reasons why UK property remain a sound investment in current times.

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House Prices Grew By Over 70% Here in the Last 10 Years Because of Regeneration

Investors with their fingers on the pulse understand that the best cities to invest in are built upon regeneration and urban renewal. 

Europe’s fastest-growing tech city and most popular property investment destination—Manchester—has been nothing short of spectacular. This Northern city has built a reputation for creating more than its fair share of world firsts, including the first IVF baby, first split atom and graphene isolation, and where the first stored programme computer was built. 

 Manchester’s growth from a market town of some 10,000 people, and its rise from industrial decline to the heaving, bustling metropolis that it is today, was founded on the back of regeneration and urban renewal. Some of Europe’s most successful regenerations took place here. 


Manchester has become the latest buzzword in property investor circles because of its huge property boom in recent years. 

From a small town of 10,000 people, Manchester is, today, the most densely populated of the UK Northwest’s 39 local authority areas with over 550,000 people and, along with Salford, one of the fastest-growing cities in the country. 

The UK’s Most Liveable City owes its urban renaissance to the mammoth regeneration plans that have been crucial in creating jobs, driving the economy and population, and improving facilities and amenities within its borders.

 

Spinningfield was named after a narrow street which ran westwards from Deansgate. In 1968, Spinningfield and the area to the south were turned into Spinningfield Square, an open paved area. In the background here is the now demolished Northcliffe House on Deansgate, the former Daily Mail Building. Image credit: Spinningfields Online
Spinningfield was named after a narrow street which ran westwards from Deansgate. In 1968, Spinningfield and the area to the south were turned into Spinningfield Square, an open paved area. In the background here is the now demolished Northcliffe House on Deansgate, the former Daily Mail Building. The transformation from the £1.5 billion regeneration of Spinningfield has been so impressive that locals find it hard to remember or imagine what existed before renewal works began!  Image credit: Spinningfields Online

Europe’s Most Successful Regeneration Projects  

One of Europe’s most successful urban regeneration projects to date is Spinningfields, located in Manchester’s central business district.  

Named in 1968 after a narrow back street, the transformation of this £1.5 billion regeneration project from a run-down college campus to a leading regional business quarter has been astonishing. It all began when Allied London struck a deal with the Manchester City Council in 1997 to develop the area following the IRA bombing that decimated the surroundings in the previous year which finally took place in the 2000s. The regeneration has resulted in an estimated 20,000 jobs, double what it used to be in 2008. The transformation has been so impressive that locals find it hard to remember or imagine what existed before renewal works began!

Spinningfields celebrates its 54th anniversary this year. It is now home to 165 world-class financial and commercial organisations, haute couture brands, F&B and even Manchester’s Courts of Law! Image credit: Visit Manchester
Spinningfields celebrates its 54th anniversary this year. The regeneration works that took place over a coupla decades has made it home to 165 world-class financial and commercial organisations, haute couture brands, F&B and even Manchester’s Courts of Law! Image credit: Visit Manchester

Spinningfields celebrates its 54th anniversary this year. It is now home to 165 world-class financial and commercial organisations, haute couture brands, F&B and even Manchester’s Courts of Law! 

MediaCityUK: Built on the site of a derelict industrial dockland, the £2 billion regeneration has transformed the area into a media hub with one of the largest high definition facilities in the European continent. Image: Orry Verducci, Upsplash
MediaCityUK: Built on the site of a derelict industrial dockland, the £2 billion regeneration has transformed the area into a media hub with one of the largest high definition facilities in the European continent. Image: Orry Verducci, Upsplash

MediaCityUK is another notable success. Its creation has played a huge part in Manchester’s growth, namely in the technology and digital media sector. 

Built on the site of a derelict industrial dockland, the £2 billion regeneration initiative transformed the area into a media hub with one of the largest high definition facilities in the European continent. It is also Europe’s first wired certified neighbourhood. More than 10,000 jobs have been created in Salford because of MediaCityUK. 

Spinningfields and MediaCityUK play a key role in Manchester’s reputation and subsequent growth. In 1987, the population of the city centre was merely 300; Between 2001 and 2011, Manchester’s population increased by 20% and in the last 10 years (20112021) since the conclusion of Spinningfields and MediaCityUK, the population in Manchester and Salford has’s population has grown by a whopping 121%, whilst Salford’s grew by 130%! 

Demand for housing increased, driving house prices. Between 2011 and 2021, average house prices grew by over 70% in both Manchester and Salford. 

Spinningfields and MediaCityUK have been a gamechanger. In the subsequent 10 years since the conclusion of the regeneration, the population in Manchester and Salford more than doubled, driving property prices to grow by more than 70%! Source: House Price Index 2011 - 2021, Land Registry UK
Spinningfields and MediaCityUK have been a gamechanger. In the subsequent 10 years since the conclusion of the regeneration, the population in Manchester and Salford more than doubled, driving property prices to grow by more than 70%! Source: House Price Index 2011 – 2021, Land Registry UK

Upcoming Investment Hotspot: Excellent Capital Growth Over the Next 20 Years

Property investors who staked their bets on the growth of Manchester and Salford have much to smile about. Capital gains aside, the dramatic expansion of the population and workforce in the last two decades have also seen an increase in rental rates, thanks to ongoing regeneration

Recent figures from Rightmove (Aug 2022) show that private rents in the UK have risen at a record 23.4% over the last 12 months alone. Rightmove also reports that rents outside London have risen19% higher than when the pandemic started in 2020—the highest annual rate ever recorded in 16 years. Manchester rents, though expectedly lower than London, are higher than other large regional cities such as Liverpool, Birmingham and Newcastle. 

Manchester continues to benefit from other regeneration initiatives including NOMA, St John’s, and Piccadilly; but its latest regeneration project, known as Victoria North, is one that will dramatically alter the city over the next 2 decades. 

Like Spinningfields and MediaCityUK, Victoria North will be a massive gamechanger. 

Victoria North is the largest regeneration project this side of the globe, jointly developed by the Far East Consortium (FEC) and the Manchester City Council to the tune of  £4 billion.  

The regeneration, which extends across 7 neighbourhoods, is expected to add 35,000 people to the city. With an estimated 200,000 people estimated to move into the Greater Manchester region over the next 15 years, Victoria North is exceedingly critical to the city’s growth and economic success, accounting for over 30% of its workforce growth. Also in the pipeline are plans for a new school, tram stop, one of the largest city centre green spaces in Manchester, GP surgeries, walking routes, and the restoration of the long-forgotten River Irk, one of the founding rivers of the city.

As the first phase of the Victoria North regeneration, the Red Bank neighbourhood is an excellent investment opportunity for capital and rental growth. Some 600 high quality homes including apartments, townhouses and maisonettes will be constructed in its pioneer development known as Victoria Riverside. 

The Manchester property market has grown incredibly, driven by a shortage of properties and rising rents. Wise investors will take advantage of the price of the upcoming developments in Victoria North and enjoy capital growth over the next 20 years as property prices increase. 

Come meet the UK developer this week in Singapore at the launch of the newest investment opportunity in the Victoria North regeneration on 24 & 25 Sept. Click HERE to register.


By Vivienne Pal
  • https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-tech-idUSKBN21400B
  • http://news.bbc.co.uk/local/manchester/hi/people_and_places/history/newsid_8282000/8282223.stm
  • https://www.investinmanchester.com/about-us/the-manchester-china-forum/manchester-and-china-case-studies/graphene-a-manchester-success-story
  • https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/worlds-first-test-tube-baby-born#:~:text=On%20July%2025%2C%201978%2C%20Louise,parents%20Lesley%20and%20Peter%20Brown
  • https://www.alliancembs.manchester.ac.uk/news/interesting-facts-about-manchester/
  • https://www.britannica.com/place/Manchester-England
  • https://www.ons.gov.uk/visualisations/censuspopulationchange/E08000003/https://citymonitor.ai/government/census-2021-uk-fastest-growing-cities
  • https://www.urbinfomanc.com/post/ons-reveals-manchester-and-salford-are-england-s-two-fastest-growing-cities#:~:text=Greater%20Manchester%20%2D%20the%20metropolitan%20region,a%20final%20population%20of%202%2C835%2C686.
  • https://ilovemanchester.com/50-years-spinningfields-manchester-bars-restauraurants
  • https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/business/business-news/spotlight-manchester-professional-services-sector-15081743
  • https://ilovemanchester.com/what-did-spinningfields-used-to-look-like-revealed
  • https://www.cityrise.co.uk/top-5-uk-regeneration-hotspots/
  • https://www.salford.gov.uk/mediacityuk
  • https://www.mediacityuk.co.uk/newsroom/mediacityuk-is-europes-first-wired-certified-neighbourhood/#
  • http://www.salfordnow.co.uk/2021/05/19/mediacityuk-economic-success-found-to-be-strongly-linked-to-the-presence-of-the-bbc/
  • http://www.mancunianmatters.co.uk/content/160756289-population-manchester-grows-almost-20-10-years-census-data-reveals-%E2%80%93-third-highest
  • https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/datasets/populationestimatesforukenglandandwalesscotlandandnorthernireland
  • https://www.ons.gov.uk/visualisations/censuspopulationchange/E08000003/
  • https://landregistry.data.gov.uk/app/ukhpi/compare?in=avg&location[]=E08000006&location[]=E08000003&st=all&lang=en
  • https://www.propertyinvestortoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2022/8/revealed–north-west-top-hotspots-for-property-investors
  • https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/property/how-cost-rent-home-manchester-24902394
  • https://www.manchester.gov.uk/info/200079/regeneration/1492/about_regeneration_in_manchester
  • https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/victoria-station-homes-river-park-23394427
  • https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/under-radar-development-thats-going-24804146
  • https://builduk.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Victoria-North-Factsheet.pdf
  • https://victoriariverside.co.uk/latest-news/red-bank-the-next-best-area-in-manchester/
  • https://fecil.uk/latest-news/first-look-inside-manchesters-victoria-riverside-development/
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UK Property Market Mid-Year Update 2022

How is the UK property market performing thus far? With pandemic fears and lockdown restrictions a thing of the past, the UK now faces rising inflation and new political upheaval with Boris Johnson stepping down as Prime Minister. How will this affect UK property investors? Read on to learn more. 

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Singaporean Investor’s Guide to Singapore Property VS Overseas Property Investment

Property is a hot topic in Singapore and there is great fervour for home ownership in the city state. Since the government’s implementation of the Additional Buyer Stamp Duty (ABSD) and TDSR (Total Debt Servicing Ratio), transactions for Singapore property have cooled and property prices softened, driving more Singaporeans to look at overseas property investment as an alternative. 

Read on about the changes in Singapore investor behaviour and comparison between Singapore property VS overseas property investment or foreign property investment

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Manchester Property Benefits from Victoria North Urban Renewal

It’s a little known fact, especially among foreigners, that Manchester, and not London, is the UK’s Most Liveable City—a common oversight, as London’s fame as a global financial and cultural hub often overshadows the Northern city. 

Still, Manchester has been the UK’s rising star in liveability, affordability and overall quality of life for a decade now, overtaking London, Birmingham and Liverpool to claim the UK’s top spot in The Economist’s ‘Global Liveability Index since 2011. 

Read on to know what to look out for when investing in property for steady capital growth.

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Top 5 Reasons to Invest in London Property in 2022

Until the pandemic hit the UK and caused a recession, the London property market had been on a flat growth trajectory for a few years. As the world and the UK fully emerge from lockdowns and pandemic related restrictions, should you still invest in London property? 

Unlike previous recessions, which saw property prices crash, the UK property market had displayed positive response, in fact, reporting a boom in activity post-lockdown. What made this recent recession different were the measures put in place to help restart the housing market, in addition to supporting affected businesses and individuals. 

Read to find out if investing in the London property market is still a good idea in 2022:
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The Singapore Resident’s Guide to Investing in UK Property

A Guide for Singapore Residents to Invest in UK Property

Are there restrictions for Singapore residents who want to invest in UK property? 

Singapore citizens face no restrictions when it comes to investing in UK property and do not require approval from the UK government to do so. However, Singaporeans will need to have residential status if they want to buy property to live in the UK.  Get information on UK visa and immigration requirements here.

If you are purchasing a property as an investment, always ensure that you choose a location that has good demand for rental property. Remove emotion from your purchase. Low vacancy rates will ensure that there is good demand for rental property, thus ensuring good returns on your investment.

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Case Study: Why Investing In Poplar, East London Makes Sense

A LOT has been happening in East London. Previously eclipsed by the glamour of the West End, the East End has become the centre for the hip, happening, creative and innovative. East London is home to up-and-coming areas like Poplar and Aberfeldy Village. 

More are choosing to reside in the East because of its relative affordability compared to the West, the gentrification that’s sweeping through and the creation of more jobs through developmental initiatives like Canary Wharf, East Bank, Stratford and the Asian Business Park. Some of the world’s largest tech companies like Google’s Innovation Hub and Amazon have also made their home in the East. 

This short case study covers the following:

  • Poplar: population density & house price growth
  • London property price & rental growth
  • Vacancy Rate

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