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UK Commercial Care Homes VS Malaysian property

The returns from investing in the UK commercial care homes sector are undoubtedly attractive. But, beyond that, what this particular investment extends, above other investments, is the fulfilment of having played a part in providing care for those who need it.

Investor interest in the UK healthcare market reached historic highs this year.

By the end of May, investment volumes had hit £687bn – significantly higher than the £492bn invested in the same period last year and the £417bn reported in 2016.

Notable transactions in the first quarter of 2018 alone include Triple Point Social Housing REIT’s investment in supported housing worth more than £40m and Impact Healthcare REIT’s sale-and-leaseback deal on three purpose-built care homes operated by Prestige Care Group for £17m.

Healthcare investments in the UK from 2008 to 2018-to-date (Graphic: Propertyweek.com)

Healthcare is becoming an increasingly popular sector for investors. Results from CBRE’s recent EMEA Investor Survey show that healthcare is one of the most popular subsectors of the alternatives market, with large numbers of investors looking to get into the sector.

This is reflected in increased demand: in spite of healthcare staffing challenges arising from Brexit and a social care funding crisis, occupancy rates for UK care homes rose for the fifth consecutive year. Demand for the sector is now at its highest level in over 20 years, translating to a record volume of about £12bn healthcare deals in 2017, reports Knight Frank. It is anticipated that investment volumes in healthcare real estate will continue to grow thanks to strong investor demand for this sort of long-dated, fixed-income stock.

CBRE reports that the key factor underpinning the potential for future growth in the UK’s healthcare real estate sector is the need to accommodate the mounting care needs of the British aging population.

And, these needs are real, especially if one looks at the estimated shortfall of 148,777 market standard beds by 2021 coupled with 6,600 care homes at risk of closure over the next five years. Currently, 85% of care home stock in the UK is over 40 years old with half of the existing 480,000 care home beds not fit for purpose.

CBRE projects over-85s in Britain to grow by 50% to 2.28m in 2026, quadrupling to make up a total of 8.8% of the UK’s population by 2081.

Projection of UK elderly population growth to 2081 (Graphic: CBRE)

Dementia is a growing concern among the elderly as well, with a pressing need for specialist care to give sufferers an adequate standard of living. In the absence of a cure, the overall number of people in the UK with diagnosable dementia will treble to over 2.5 million by 2081.

In the care home sector alone, this growth will result in the need for an additional 200,000 specialist dementia beds over the next 25-30 years, representing an increase of 40% on current numbers.

Knight Frank Head of Healthcare, Julian Evans, said that investment was needed in the current market with demand outstripping supply.

He stressed that the care home sector was facing a “national crisis” of undersupply with 5,000 beds brought to the market last year and 7,000 beds being decommissioned.

Virata Thaivasigamony of property consultancy CSI Prop echoed the findings from CBRE’s Investor Survey, saying that there has been good response among Malaysian investors towards UK care homes.

“Our last few launches sold out quickly, but we are introducing more projects from this segment to meet the high demand that we have seen among Malaysian investors.”

But for him, there is more to the investment than monetary gains.

“What the elderly care homes investment extends to the investor — above other investments — is the fulfilment of having done something for the good of others. Yes, it is undoubtedly a profitable venture, but it is also an investment that adds value to society and truly makes a difference.

“Caring for the elderly and infirm, especially those with dementia, is not akin to caring for an elderly but, otherwise, relatively healthy mother or relative at home. It requires specialised care. It is enabling the elderly to have dignity in the last few years of life, providing them with the care that their children, family member and friends cannot provide for them,” Virata said.

UK Care Homes Vs Malaysian Property

There is good reason for the high investor demand. The comparison of investment yields below shows that UK care homes offer much higher returns compared to local residential property, with the added benefit of an easy exit:

Rental yields for a UK Care Home vs a Klang Valley Apartment. Note: Klang Valley prices and rental returns are estimates based on current market conditions.

At the moment, residential property in Malaysia is showing lacklustre demand among investors. The glut of unsold housing indicates that the local market is currently on a downward trend, which is driving investors to search of better returns elsewhere.

The number of unsold completed residential units for the first quarter of 2018 totalled 34,532 units, worth RM22.26bil, the National Property Information Centre reported in June.

This represents a 55.72% increase from the 22,175 unsold units last year.

In ringgit values, this represents a rise of 67.82% from last year’s RM13.27 bil.

What are your thoughts about the investors flocking to the Care Homes sector in the UK? Drop us a comment below. If you are interested to jump on the Care Homes bandwagon with the potential for high returns, don’t hesitate to give us a call at 3163 8343 (Singapore), 03-2162 2260 (Malaysia), or email us at info@csiprop.com!

By Ian Choong

Sources:

  • https://www.propertyweek.com/analysis-and-data/uk-healthcare-investment-volumes-show-strong-growth/5097120.article
  • http://www.carehomeprofessional.com/exclusive-investor-interest-uk-care-home-market-historic-high-says-knight-frank/
  • https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/06/28/unsold-residential-soho-units-at-rm22bil/#qvbDmpmyyufsX23G.99
  • https://www.cbre.com/research-reports/United-Kingdom-Healthcare-Property-Trends-May-2018
  • http://valuedinsights.cbre.co.uk/the-property-perspective-alternatives-h1-2018
  • http://www.knightfrank.co.uk/resources/healthcare-property-spring-market-overview-2018-spring-2018-5204.pdf
  • Featured image from cygnet.care
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Care Homes Investment: Where is the UK’s Oldest Population?

Areas with a large older population face greater demands in terms of health and social care provision.

Over the past two decades, the average age of a UK resident has risen by 2 years, to 40. Within 30 years, 1 in 4 people is expected to be aged 65 and over. Freshly released data from Centre for Cities reveal where the youngest and oldest populations in the UK are concentrated.

Recent figures predict one in six Britons alive today will live to a century.

The number of centenarians in the UK currently stands at 15,000 and the predicted growth of this older population is staggering. The population of people aged 90 and over has grown more rapidly than other age groups in recent years with forecasts revealing that around 10 million people alive today will reach their centenary!

Such findings have prompted the UK government to allot more than £300m to support the ageing population. Business Secretary Greg Clark announced that £210m will go towards the development of early diagnostic tools and innovative treatments while £98m will be spent on a ‘healthy ageing programme’ designed to help the elderly with the quotidian affairs that come with old age.

In conjunction with the government’s ambition to tackle dementia, England’s leading cause of death, another £40m will go to a dementia hub that will be established in London in partnership with University College London. The hub will host 350 leading scientists researching new treatments for the debilitating disease, supporting the government’s agenda to have the best dementia care internationally by 2020.

UK’s Oldest and Youngest Population

Freshly released data from Centre for Cities reveal where the youngest and oldest populations in the UK are concentrated. According to the independent think tank, over the past two decades, the average age of a UK resident has risen by two years, to 40. Within 30 years, one in four people is expected to be aged 65 and over.

While the youngest population in the UK reside in Slough with an average age of 33.9, the oldest population belongs to Blackpool, a seaside resort on the Irish Sea coast of England with an average age of 43.2. Following Blackpool are fellow coastal cities: Worthing (43), Bournemouth (42.8) and Southend (42.2). More than one in five residents of each city were 65 and over in 2016 — this seems to illustrate the attraction of the seaside for those in retirement  and welcoming their sunset years.

The oldest population in the UK is in Blackpool, a seaside resort on the Irish Sea coast of England with an average age of 43.2. Image by The Beach Guide UK

Blackpool: Poor Health, Rich Demand for Care Homes

Areas with a large older population face greater demands in terms of health and social care provision. The 2017 Health Profile for Blackpool reveals that the health of the people there are generally worse than the England average.

According to a report by Joint Strategic Needs Assessment (JSNA), Blackpool has a higher recorded prevalence of dementia in those aged over 65, with a 3.4% population in Blackpool compared to 3.2% nationally. Not surprisingly, the majority of admissions to care homes in Blackpool is due to dementia.

The UK is alarmingly ill-prepared for this rapidly growing population, as JSNA reveals that even family carers of people afflicted with dementia themselves are infirm. This called for NHS to treat dementia as a priority area and thus, a National Dementia Strategy was launched in 2009. However, in 2011, NHS Blackpool conducted a survey of local GPs which suggested that dementia care of every degree still has many serious improvements to make, particularly towards the development and implementation of local care pathways and education programmes to meet GP requirements. Overall dementia care in Blackpool must improve and expand dramatically to tackle the increasing number of people with the disease.

Figure 1 – Blackpool: Males and Females aged 65+ expected to have dementia (projected to 2030)

Blackpool has a higher recorded prevalence of dementia in those aged over 65, with a 3.4% population in Blackpool compared to 3.2% nationally. Not surprisingly, the majority of admissions to care homes in Blackpool is due to dementia. Image by JSNA BLackpool.

The JSNA report also stated that the next common health crisis besetting the older population in Blackpool is depression, with depression rates expected to rise in the following years.

Again, it must be stressed that well-equipped and well-staffed care homes that cater to a range of diseases besetting the elderly, is not confined to Blackpool; the media is fraught with news of poorly-run and ill-equipped care homes across the UK.

Thus, the UK care sector is in urgent need of dementia-specific care facilities and nursing, with several being closed down due to an inability to meet Care Quality Commission guidelines and regulations. Moreover, care homes of substantial quality are particularly in high demand!

What inevitably trails such conditions is a thriving market that benefits investors. It is evident that high demand and seemingly perpetual relevance will continue to propel the care home market forward, and a weighted analysis of the yields will undoubtedly manifest the immense potential of this asset class.

Care Homes Investment: A Stand Out Asset Class

Care for the elderly generates in excess of £14.5 billion for the UK economy. According to The National Audit Office’s 2014 report into Adult Social Care, care needs are climbing. Effectively, the government is predicting that 1.7m more adults will require some form of care and support over the next 20 years.

Given its escalating demand, property group Knight Frank has placed care homes at the top of the list of high returns from property in the health sector, where yields of up to 10% are common.

Aside from rewarding returns, this commercial property investment also offers an exit in the form of a sell-back option to the developer at an appreciated value.

Carlauren Lifestyle Resorts Blackpool, once completed, will be one of the latest lifestyle quality care homes in Blackpool, offering investors 10% returns assured for 10 years. Exit is available from year five onwards. Alongside access to 24/7 care home packages, the luxurious 61-studio care home scheme located on Blackpool’s seafront boasts spectacular sea views, fine dining and bar, cinema, hair and beauty salon, and spa.

Feel free to contact the team at CSI Prop for more information and how to build an impressive property portfolio.

By Nimue Wafiya

Sources:


CSI Prop proudly promotes international investment property with high yields at low risk. Our portfolio comprises residential and purpose-built student property in cities across the United Kingdom (London, Luton, Manchester, Liverpool, Newcastle, York, Glasgow, Scotland; Sheffield, etc); Australia (Melbourne, Perth, Brisbane) and Thailand (Bangkok). Our projects are concentrated in high-growth areas with great educational, infrastructural and job growth potentials. We aspire to make a difference in the lives of our clients by helping them achieve their investment goals through strong market research backed by third party experts and due diligence. 

Disclaimer: CSI Prop does not provide tax & legal advice and accepts no liability. Readers are encouraged to consult a qualified tax or legal advisor for a thorough review.

Need advice or clarification? Call us for more information and/or to find out about our projects! Hotline: 03-2162 2260

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Care Homes Investment – A Stand Out Asset Class

Part 2 of the Care Homes Article Series. Read Part 1: The Ageing Population in UK here.

The UK care homes market faces an imminent crisis due to a national shortage, creating increasing opportunities for investors and generating a truly global appetite for the sector. The sector has been named the stand out asset class of the year by Knight Frank.

Statistics show that old age is closely linked to debilitating illnesses such as dementia and Alzheimer’s Disease, causing an increase in the need for care homes and assisted living. The UK has a growing ageing population, with new  research by the ONS revealing that 1 in 4 people will be aged 65 years old in less than 30 years.

Of this population, there are approximately  850,000 people with dementia. With better diagnosis and rising life expectancy rates, numbers could exceed 1 million by 2025 and reach 2 million by 2051, when 1 in 3 people over 65 years will have the disease. Today, dementia is the leading cause of death in England and Wales, replacing heart disease.

What is now a grave concern is the inadequate supply of proper care homes and facilities to cater to the increasing number of aged citizens, particularly those afflicted with dementia.

National Crisis: Critical Shortage of Care Homes

Currently, only about 416,000 people live in care homes (Laing and Buisson Survey 2016) in the UK. This constitutes only a meagre 4% of the population aged 65 years and over, and 16% of those aged 85 and above.

Clearly, the UK care homes sector is facing a national crisis — an issue that Knight Frank’s UK Healthcare Development Opportunities 2017 report attributes to a nett loss in homes and beds. This is a trend that is likely to continue for awhile. 

A survey of UK local authorities by the Family and Childcare Trust confirms this:  4 in 5 UK local authorities have insufficient care for older people, particularly those with dementia. And only ⅓ of councils had enough nursing homes with specialist dementia support.

Research by charity outfit, Independent Age revealed that overall, a quarter of homes were rated as either inadequate or requiring improvement in January this year with the worst region being the Northwest (this includes Stockport, Salford and Manchester). Which is why there is an increasing need for properly built, fully-functional care homes that cater to the varied needs of the aged and infirm. 

Research by charity outfit, Independent Age revealed that overall, a quarter of homes were rated as either inadequate or requiring improvement in January this year with the worst region being the Northwest (this includes Stockport, Salford and Manchester). Which is why there is an increasing need for properly built, fully-functional care homes. Image credit: http://bit.ly/2ouQfOj

The Economist published an article revealing fundamental and systemic flaws, explaining that the care home market has not responded to demand, and, even when built, are often not located in the right places.

‘It is hard to get an old-people’s home built. Local authorities are not always willing to grant planning permission, especially when a plot could be used more lucratively, such as for shops,’ the article states.

The fact is, dedicated care is very costly. And, understandably, social care provided by councils is quite tightly rationed, as local authorities can only provide help to those with very high needs. Currently, only those with low means — under £23,250 in savings and, in some cases, the value of a home — get help towards their costs. The rest have to pay all their care costs, which could exceed £100,000. 

Julian Evans, Knight Frank’s Head of Healthcare said that the UK care homes market faces an imminent crisis due to a national shortage of beds. However, this crisis and acute undersupply of care homes has created opportunities for investors, and will continue to drive investor appetite in the coming years.

“The disparity of care bed supply and demand presents increasing opportunities for investors, and, combined with the fall in the sterling, has generated a truly global appetite for the sector.

“The care home sector is likely to be the stand out asset class of 2017, particularly for those investors wishing to diversify their asset portfolios in the current uncertain economic climate,” he explained.

Stand-Out Commercial Property Class

Just like residential property and student property in the UK, the law of economics applies to UK care homes investment — with low supply and high demand, as well as the average cost of ₤574 per week at a care home facility, returns are pretty impressive. 

Some projects offer up to 8% nett yield (after all expenses) for up to 25 years, as well as an exit clause. For many investors, the exit clause is part of the investment attraction.

Some of the care homes investment projects in our portfolio offers an exit/guaranteed buyback at years 10, 15, 20 and 25.

“Indeed, retirement living has fundamentals for growth, and makes a great investment opportunity. With the ageing population thrown in to the equation, care homes investment could be the next student investment,” said CSI Prop spokesperson Virata Thaivasigamony.

For information on care homes investment, contact us at 016-228 8691 or 016-228 9150.

By Vivienne Pal

CSI Prop proudly promotes international investment property with high yields at low risk. Our portfolio comprises residential and purpose-built student property in cities across the United Kingdom (London, Luton, Manchester, Liverpool, Newcastle, York, Glasgow, Scotland; Sheffield, etc); Australia (Melbourne, Perth, Brisbane) and Thailand (Bangkok). Our projects are concentrated in high-growth areas with great educational, infrastructural and job growth potentials. We aspire to make a difference in the lives of our clients by helping them achieve their investment goals through strong market research backed by third party experts and due diligence. 

Disclaimer: CSI Prop does not provide tax & legal advice and accepts no liability. Readers are encouraged to consult a qualified tax or legal advisor for a thorough review.

Need advice or clarification? Call us for more information and/or to find out about our projects! Hotline: 03-2162 2260