No Comments

6,000,000 Elderly Brits Will Require Care Homes by 2040

A recent report warned that, by 2040, the British elderly population in need of care will hit a critical 6 million.

The report was commissioned by the Department of Health and Social Care, and carried out by the London School of Economics, and York and Kent ­universities.

Britain’s elderly population is growing rapidly. In 25 years, the report projected that the number of those over 65 years of age will increase from 9.7 million to 14.9 million, a rise of more than half.

Those over 85 years of age are projected to rise even more rapidly, more than doubling from 1.3 million to 2.7 million.

Of the elderly population, those in need of care will shoot up to 5.9 million, an increase of almost 70% from the previous 3.5 million.

Growth of the UK’s elderly population and those in need of care by 2040. Source: ESHCRU, PSSRU

Report lead Raphael ­Wittenberg of the London School of Economics said: “Our projections of demand for social care show unless there is a substantial decline in disability rates in old age, the number of people needing care will rise greatly over the next 25 years.”

Public expenditure on social services is expected to balloon from £7.2 billion to £18.7 billion, which is more than two and a half times the amount spent in 2015.

The £9.4 billion in dedicated social care funding provided by the Department of Health and Social Care to local authorities over a three-year period, has been insufficient for the growing elderly population in need of care. Budget cuts have hit social care aid, and NHS figures showed those receiving help have fallen by 400,000 since 2010.

Barbara Keeley, Shadow Minister for Social Care said: “Councils who provide care are facing bankruptcy, nearly half a million fewer people are getting publicly funded care than in 2010 and over one million older people are going without any care at all.”

Ian Hudspeth, chairman of the Local Government Association’s Community Wellbeing Board said: “With people living longer, increases in costs and decreases in funding, adult social care is at breaking point.

“Adult social care services face a £3.5 billion funding gap by 2025 just to maintain existing standards of care. The likely consequences are more and more people being unable to get quality and reliable care and support,” he said.

The elderly that do not qualify for social care funding will have to pay out of their own pocket. Private expenditure is projected to rise from £6.3 billion in 2015 to £16.5 billion in 2040, an increase of 163%.

Yet, private care may not be that easy to obtain either. In May, CBRE reported that by 2021, there would be a shortfall of more than 148,000 beds at private care homes.

Currently, 85% of Britain’s care home stock is over 40 years old with half of the existing 480,000 care home beds not fit for purpose and 6,600 care homes at risk of closure over the next five years, due to poor condition.

For the elderly in need of care but are unable to obtain it, there is undue pressure on their family and friends to provide assistance for daily living. This is not sustainable — the fate of Britain’s elderly lies in whether the country can build enough care homes to ensure them a decent standard of living.

New-build care homes are currently being constructed across the country to meet this need. With low supply and high demand, this sector offers  lucrative opportunities for investors, providing high returns at low risk.

Care homes from several developers like Qualia and Carlauren are packaged to be accessible to investors. There is no need for a large amount of capital, with investors being able to purchase as little as just an individual room, which has the additional benefit of falling below the stamp duty threshold for commercial property. This brings great returns due to the savings on duty.

An investment in care homes goes beyond monetary gain, and provides a practical benefit for society — specifically the British elderly population in need of care.

Virata Thaivasigamony of CSI Properties knows this. He says: “What the elderly care homes investment extends to the investor — above other investments — is the fulfilment of having done something for the good of others. Yes, it is undoubtedly a profitable venture, but it is also an investment that adds value to society and truly makes a difference.”

This weekend in Singapore at the Hilton Hotel (Thailand & Singapore Room Level 5), attend the launch of Bayview, a UK care home in Morecambe Bay. Meet Carlauren CEO Sean Murray and find out how you can get 10% rental returns assured for 10 years, starting from a capital of £85,950! 

What are your thoughts about the elderly care crisis the UK is facing? Drop us a comment below. If you are interested to invest in UK Care Homes with the potential for high returns while making a difference, don’t hesitate to give us a call at (+65) 3163 8343 (Singapore), 03-2162 2260 (Malaysia), or email us at info@csiprop.com!

By Ian Choong
Edited by Vivienne Pal

Sources:

  • http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/88376/1/Wittenberg_Adult%20Social%20Care_Published.pdf
  • https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/elderly-care-timebomb-report-reveals-13256671
  • https://www.nursingtimes.net/news/number-of-older-people-needing-care-set-to-rise-to-12-million-by-2040/7026017.article
  • https://csiprop.com/uk-care-homes-vs-malaysian-property/
  • Featured Image: Orchid Care
No Comments

UK Commercial Care Homes VS Malaysian property

The returns from investing in the UK commercial care homes sector are undoubtedly attractive. But, beyond that, what this particular investment extends, above other investments, is the fulfilment of having played a part in providing care for those who need it.

Investor interest in the UK healthcare market reached historic highs this year.

By the end of May, investment volumes had hit £687bn – significantly higher than the £492bn invested in the same period last year and the £417bn reported in 2016.

Notable transactions in the first quarter of 2018 alone include Triple Point Social Housing REIT’s investment in supported housing worth more than £40m and Impact Healthcare REIT’s sale-and-leaseback deal on three purpose-built care homes operated by Prestige Care Group for £17m.

Healthcare investments in the UK from 2008 to 2018-to-date (Graphic: Propertyweek.com)

Healthcare is becoming an increasingly popular sector for investors. Results from CBRE’s recent EMEA Investor Survey show that healthcare is one of the most popular subsectors of the alternatives market, with large numbers of investors looking to get into the sector.

This is reflected in increased demand: in spite of healthcare staffing challenges arising from Brexit and a social care funding crisis, occupancy rates for UK care homes rose for the fifth consecutive year. Demand for the sector is now at its highest level in over 20 years, translating to a record volume of about £12bn healthcare deals in 2017, reports Knight Frank. It is anticipated that investment volumes in healthcare real estate will continue to grow thanks to strong investor demand for this sort of long-dated, fixed-income stock.

CBRE reports that the key factor underpinning the potential for future growth in the UK’s healthcare real estate sector is the need to accommodate the mounting care needs of the British aging population.

And, these needs are real, especially if one looks at the estimated shortfall of 148,777 market standard beds by 2021 coupled with 6,600 care homes at risk of closure over the next five years. Currently, 85% of care home stock in the UK is over 40 years old with half of the existing 480,000 care home beds not fit for purpose.

CBRE projects over-85s in Britain to grow by 50% to 2.28m in 2026, quadrupling to make up a total of 8.8% of the UK’s population by 2081.

Projection of UK elderly population growth to 2081 (Graphic: CBRE)

Dementia is a growing concern among the elderly as well, with a pressing need for specialist care to give sufferers an adequate standard of living. In the absence of a cure, the overall number of people in the UK with diagnosable dementia will treble to over 2.5 million by 2081.

In the care home sector alone, this growth will result in the need for an additional 200,000 specialist dementia beds over the next 25-30 years, representing an increase of 40% on current numbers.

Knight Frank Head of Healthcare, Julian Evans, said that investment was needed in the current market with demand outstripping supply.

He stressed that the care home sector was facing a “national crisis” of undersupply with 5,000 beds brought to the market last year and 7,000 beds being decommissioned.

Virata Thaivasigamony of property consultancy CSI Prop echoed the findings from CBRE’s Investor Survey, saying that there has been good response among Malaysian investors towards UK care homes.

“Our last few launches sold out quickly, but we are introducing more projects from this segment to meet the high demand that we have seen among Malaysian investors.”

But for him, there is more to the investment than monetary gains.

“What the elderly care homes investment extends to the investor — above other investments — is the fulfilment of having done something for the good of others. Yes, it is undoubtedly a profitable venture, but it is also an investment that adds value to society and truly makes a difference.

“Caring for the elderly and infirm, especially those with dementia, is not akin to caring for an elderly but, otherwise, relatively healthy mother or relative at home. It requires specialised care. It is enabling the elderly to have dignity in the last few years of life, providing them with the care that their children, family member and friends cannot provide for them,” Virata said.

UK Care Homes Vs Malaysian Property

There is good reason for the high investor demand. The comparison of investment yields below shows that UK care homes offer much higher returns compared to local residential property, with the added benefit of an easy exit:

Rental yields for a UK Care Home vs a Klang Valley Apartment. Note: Klang Valley prices and rental returns are estimates based on current market conditions.

At the moment, residential property in Malaysia is showing lacklustre demand among investors. The glut of unsold housing indicates that the local market is currently on a downward trend, which is driving investors to search of better returns elsewhere.

The number of unsold completed residential units for the first quarter of 2018 totalled 34,532 units, worth RM22.26bil, the National Property Information Centre reported in June.

This represents a 55.72% increase from the 22,175 unsold units last year.

In ringgit values, this represents a rise of 67.82% from last year’s RM13.27 bil.

What are your thoughts about the investors flocking to the Care Homes sector in the UK? Drop us a comment below. If you are interested to jump on the Care Homes bandwagon with the potential for high returns, don’t hesitate to give us a call at 3163 8343 (Singapore), 03-2162 2260 (Malaysia), or email us at info@csiprop.com!

By Ian Choong

Sources:

  • https://www.propertyweek.com/analysis-and-data/uk-healthcare-investment-volumes-show-strong-growth/5097120.article
  • http://www.carehomeprofessional.com/exclusive-investor-interest-uk-care-home-market-historic-high-says-knight-frank/
  • https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/06/28/unsold-residential-soho-units-at-rm22bil/#qvbDmpmyyufsX23G.99
  • https://www.cbre.com/research-reports/United-Kingdom-Healthcare-Property-Trends-May-2018
  • http://valuedinsights.cbre.co.uk/the-property-perspective-alternatives-h1-2018
  • http://www.knightfrank.co.uk/resources/healthcare-property-spring-market-overview-2018-spring-2018-5204.pdf
  • Featured image from cygnet.care
No Comments

UK Property Investment Beyond Brexit

In less than a year, the UK  will officially exit the EU. Here is an overview of the Brexit effect on the UK property market.

Recently, popular actor Sir Patrick Stewart joined Members of Parliament and business leaders in London for the launch of a campaign called The People’s Vote. The campaign calls for a second Brexit vote, and drew some 1,200 people, including representatives from all of Britain’s major parties.

The actor, who played Professor X in X-Men, and Captain Jean-Luc Picard in Star Trek: The Next Generation, had earlier said that both his iconic X-Men and Star Trek characters would have backed Remain. This provoked a retort from Boris Johnson, the British Foreign Secretary. Mr Johnson drew upon Star Trek’s famous line, saying that Brexit will enable the UK to “boldly go” to areas it has neglected in recent years as it seeks trade deals.

On 29 March 2019, the UK will cease to be part of the EU as per the terms of Article 50. Taking into consideration the time needed for ratification by both the EU and UK, negotiations need to be complete by the end of 2018, or both parties risk a ‘cliff edge’ scenario where ties are suddenly severed with no arrangement as to how to move forward outside World Trade Organization (WTO) rules.

The UK has long been a global superpower with London as the world’s financial, education and cultural centre — even before it became a member of the EU.

Brexit and the property landscape

The UK has long been a global superpower with London as the world’s financial, education and cultural centre, even before it became a member of the EU.

Our position has always been that there will, undeniably, be risks and opportunities. And while uncertainty is bound to rock the housing and economic market, we are positive that the UK will adapt to changes caused by Brexit. The slowdown in the housing market is likely a short-term one as the lack of housing supply in the UK will not change overnight, thus there will continue to be opportunities for property investors.

CBRE, in its Brexit Guide for Real Estate Decision Makers released last month (March 2018), echoes the sentiment and concludes that Brexit is not likely to have a significant impact on the property market.

The British Prime Minister has said on many occasions that she would rather that no deal be made (in negotiations with the EU), than a bad one. CBRE calculates the probability of a no-deal Brexit scenario at around 25%. A no-deal scenario would mean the UK leaving on WTO rules, rather than continued preferential market access. Such an outcome could be damaging for the short-term confidence in the UK economy, especially if the UK is not well prepared.

What is significant for the real estate market are the current negotiations on future trade and migration arrangements.

Migration controls are likely to be tighter, but it is not clear yet to what extent the controls will be. In the 2017 General Election, the Government restated its target to cut nett migration to below 100,000 people per year. This will be challenging given that nett migration into the UK is currently more than double that amount, and added on to the fact that the Government wants to allow highly-skilled EU immigrants to continue to come to the UK.

The reduction in immigrants could very well cause labour shortages and inflation. A shortage in labour affecting the construction sector could mean the slowing down of on-going developments, inevitably causing real estate demand to rise. This was implicitly recognized in the Government’s November 2017 Budget, in which £34 mil was allocated to retraining the unemployed to work in this sector.

However, any attempt to tighten migration controls will not be made until 2021 at the earliest, given that the Government has made a commitment to import the entire body of EU law into domestic legislation, which will take a while.

This will also mean that regulatory legislation for the property market is likely to stay stagnant until after 2021 as well. Tax change is not likely to differ either. Most taxes have been nationally-determined, with the exception of VAT and customs duties where the EU has specific influence. Thus Brexit will not induce much change in that regard.

Residential Property

The residential property market is on the road to recovery, going up by 34% from the post-crisis sales rate, which was about 1.2 million sales in 2017.

First-time buyers have increased from the long-term average of 41% to 48%. This can possibly be attributed to the Government’s Help to Buy program, which provides more accessible financing for those looking to purchase residential property. Movers are hindered by a lack of stock coming onto the market, and this trend is most pronounced in London.

CBRE predicts that house price growth will slow to around 1.5% in 2018, but rally in 2019 and reach 17.1% in the next five years.

CBRE house price and rental forecast for 2018-2021

Commercial Student Accommodation

Commercial student accommodation is set to be a growth area, with or without a Brexit deal. Research from Cushman & Wakefield showed that the supply of studio rooms has more than doubled since 2014. In 2017 a record-breaking 30,000 bed spaces were provided.

However, supply is still not keeping pace with the growth of students in recent years. CBRE’s research shows that there still is much headroom for further provision of student accommodation in many cities in the UK.

CBRE’s valuation index of 65,000 bed spaces reached double-digits, with total returns at 11.9% in the 12 months to Sept 2017. This significantly outperformed the Investment Property Database (IPD) All Property Index at 9.5%, which provides an indication of investment performance for the entire real estate market as a whole.

Nett rental growth of the index reached 4.1%, which was pushing double the IPD ERV (Estimated Rental Value) growth, at 2.2%.

Future demand for student property is likely to increase as latest UCAS figures show that student applications have gone up. The number of applications by EU and international students for university places in the UK increased to over 100,000 for the first time in 2018, a rise of almost 8% compared to last year. From this it can be seen that Brexit is irrelevant to students looking to further their studies, and the UK remains a popular place due to the reputation it has for quality tertiary education.

David Feeney, advisory associate at Cushman & Wakefield explains, “The UK is still a global education hub, attracting the best students from around the world. Even with Britain’s exit from the EU progressing, the relatively weak pound has attracted additional applications from non-EU students, with their numbers rising 5% over the last year. It is a key market, as 23% of the UK student population is now from overseas.”

Healthcare

Healthcare real estate investment hit record prices in 2017, reaching double (£1.4bn) that of the whole of 2016 (£720m) in just January to October. A majority of investments went into commercial care homes, far surpassing the rest of the healthcare sector.

Healthcare Investment Volumes for 2016 and 2017 (CBRE)

The large disparity of care home supply and demand has driven investments in this area. The UK’s population is ageing rapidly and existing facilities are already unable to cater to the current demand. There is also a lack of support for sufferers of dementia, a demographic which is also increasing rapidly.

We can see more real estate investment trusts (REITs) starting to focus on this in 2018 and beyond. AXA’s acquisition of Retirement Villages and L&G’s acquisition of Inspired Villages and Renaissance Villages were all purchases involving established operators with development pipelines.

Conclusion

The current uncertainty in the air continues to dampen confidence and growth in the UK’s economy. Currency-induced inflation has not yet fully dissipated, slowing consumer spending. Yet, as we have said previously, the weak pound has attracted a good number of international real estate investors to the UK, increasing demand for property. The weak sterling provides investors with a great opportunity to get into the UK property market right now, and cash in later when the market regains its footing.

Certain sectors like commercial student property and commercial elderly care homes are Brexit-proof due to the high demand and low supply, regardless of whether the UK does or does not exit the EU with a deal. These sectors also have the advantage of being accessible to the individual investor and not just REITs, with their availability to be purchased in affordable units.

Article by Ian Choong

  • http://fortune.com/2018/04/16/patrick-stewart-brexit-second-peoples-vote/
  • http://www.irishnews.com/news/worldnews/2018/04/16/news/boris-johnson-draw-upon-star-trek-catch-phrase-to-defend-brexit-1305065/
  • https://www.ft.com/content/d0e520be-cf6b-11e7-b781-794ce08b24dc
  • http://valuedinsights.cbre.co.uk/uk-student-accommodation-storylines-applications-affordability-and-appetite-from-investors/
  • CBRE Brexit Guide for Real Estate Decision Makers
  • https://csiprop.com/brexit-uk-property-outlook/
  • https://csiprop.com/international-applications-to-uk-universities-hit-record-high/
  • https://csiprop.com/press-release-silver-lining-behind-brexit-for-malaysian-investors/
  • Feature image: offshorelivingletter.com

CSI Prop proudly promotes international investment property with high yields at low risk. Our portfolio comprises residential and purpose-built student property in cities across the United Kingdom (London, Luton, Manchester, Liverpool, Newcastle, York, Glasgow, Scotland; Sheffield, etc); Australia (Melbourne, Perth, Brisbane) and Thailand (Bangkok). Our projects are concentrated in high-growth areas with great educational, infrastructural and job growth potentials. We aspire to make a difference in the lives of our clients by helping them achieve their investment goals through strong market research backed by third party experts and due diligence. 

Disclaimer: CSI Prop does not provide tax & legal advice and accepts no liability. Readers are encouraged to consult a qualified tax or legal advisor for a thorough review.

Need advice or clarification? Call us for more information and/or to find out about our projects! Hotline: 03-2162 2260

No Comments

Care Homes Investment: Where is the UK’s Oldest Population?

Areas with a large older population face greater demands in terms of health and social care provision.

Over the past two decades, the average age of a UK resident has risen by 2 years, to 40. Within 30 years, 1 in 4 people is expected to be aged 65 and over. Freshly released data from Centre for Cities reveal where the youngest and oldest populations in the UK are concentrated.

Recent figures predict one in six Britons alive today will live to a century.

The number of centenarians in the UK currently stands at 15,000 and the predicted growth of this older population is staggering. The population of people aged 90 and over has grown more rapidly than other age groups in recent years with forecasts revealing that around 10 million people alive today will reach their centenary!

Such findings have prompted the UK government to allot more than £300m to support the ageing population. Business Secretary Greg Clark announced that £210m will go towards the development of early diagnostic tools and innovative treatments while £98m will be spent on a ‘healthy ageing programme’ designed to help the elderly with the quotidian affairs that come with old age.

In conjunction with the government’s ambition to tackle dementia, England’s leading cause of death, another £40m will go to a dementia hub that will be established in London in partnership with University College London. The hub will host 350 leading scientists researching new treatments for the debilitating disease, supporting the government’s agenda to have the best dementia care internationally by 2020.

UK’s Oldest and Youngest Population

Freshly released data from Centre for Cities reveal where the youngest and oldest populations in the UK are concentrated. According to the independent think tank, over the past two decades, the average age of a UK resident has risen by two years, to 40. Within 30 years, one in four people is expected to be aged 65 and over.

While the youngest population in the UK reside in Slough with an average age of 33.9, the oldest population belongs to Blackpool, a seaside resort on the Irish Sea coast of England with an average age of 43.2. Following Blackpool are fellow coastal cities: Worthing (43), Bournemouth (42.8) and Southend (42.2). More than one in five residents of each city were 65 and over in 2016 — this seems to illustrate the attraction of the seaside for those in retirement  and welcoming their sunset years.

The oldest population in the UK is in Blackpool, a seaside resort on the Irish Sea coast of England with an average age of 43.2. Image by The Beach Guide UK

Blackpool: Poor Health, Rich Demand for Care Homes

Areas with a large older population face greater demands in terms of health and social care provision. The 2017 Health Profile for Blackpool reveals that the health of the people there are generally worse than the England average.

According to a report by Joint Strategic Needs Assessment (JSNA), Blackpool has a higher recorded prevalence of dementia in those aged over 65, with a 3.4% population in Blackpool compared to 3.2% nationally. Not surprisingly, the majority of admissions to care homes in Blackpool is due to dementia.

The UK is alarmingly ill-prepared for this rapidly growing population, as JSNA reveals that even family carers of people afflicted with dementia themselves are infirm. This called for NHS to treat dementia as a priority area and thus, a National Dementia Strategy was launched in 2009. However, in 2011, NHS Blackpool conducted a survey of local GPs which suggested that dementia care of every degree still has many serious improvements to make, particularly towards the development and implementation of local care pathways and education programmes to meet GP requirements. Overall dementia care in Blackpool must improve and expand dramatically to tackle the increasing number of people with the disease.

Figure 1 – Blackpool: Males and Females aged 65+ expected to have dementia (projected to 2030)

Blackpool has a higher recorded prevalence of dementia in those aged over 65, with a 3.4% population in Blackpool compared to 3.2% nationally. Not surprisingly, the majority of admissions to care homes in Blackpool is due to dementia. Image by JSNA BLackpool.

The JSNA report also stated that the next common health crisis besetting the older population in Blackpool is depression, with depression rates expected to rise in the following years.

Again, it must be stressed that well-equipped and well-staffed care homes that cater to a range of diseases besetting the elderly, is not confined to Blackpool; the media is fraught with news of poorly-run and ill-equipped care homes across the UK.

Thus, the UK care sector is in urgent need of dementia-specific care facilities and nursing, with several being closed down due to an inability to meet Care Quality Commission guidelines and regulations. Moreover, care homes of substantial quality are particularly in high demand!

What inevitably trails such conditions is a thriving market that benefits investors. It is evident that high demand and seemingly perpetual relevance will continue to propel the care home market forward, and a weighted analysis of the yields will undoubtedly manifest the immense potential of this asset class.

Care Homes Investment: A Stand Out Asset Class

Care for the elderly generates in excess of £14.5 billion for the UK economy. According to The National Audit Office’s 2014 report into Adult Social Care, care needs are climbing. Effectively, the government is predicting that 1.7m more adults will require some form of care and support over the next 20 years.

Given its escalating demand, property group Knight Frank has placed care homes at the top of the list of high returns from property in the health sector, where yields of up to 10% are common.

Aside from rewarding returns, this commercial property investment also offers an exit in the form of a sell-back option to the developer at an appreciated value.

Carlauren Lifestyle Resorts Blackpool, once completed, will be one of the latest lifestyle quality care homes in Blackpool, offering investors 10% returns assured for 10 years. Exit is available from year five onwards. Alongside access to 24/7 care home packages, the luxurious 61-studio care home scheme located on Blackpool’s seafront boasts spectacular sea views, fine dining and bar, cinema, hair and beauty salon, and spa.

Feel free to contact the team at CSI Prop for more information and how to build an impressive property portfolio.

By Nimue Wafiya

Sources:


CSI Prop proudly promotes international investment property with high yields at low risk. Our portfolio comprises residential and purpose-built student property in cities across the United Kingdom (London, Luton, Manchester, Liverpool, Newcastle, York, Glasgow, Scotland; Sheffield, etc); Australia (Melbourne, Perth, Brisbane) and Thailand (Bangkok). Our projects are concentrated in high-growth areas with great educational, infrastructural and job growth potentials. We aspire to make a difference in the lives of our clients by helping them achieve their investment goals through strong market research backed by third party experts and due diligence. 

Disclaimer: CSI Prop does not provide tax & legal advice and accepts no liability. Readers are encouraged to consult a qualified tax or legal advisor for a thorough review.

Need advice or clarification? Call us for more information and/or to find out about our projects! Hotline: 03-2162 2260

No Comments

UK Commercial Property Investment Rose 66%

Natex, a new-build student property investment located strategically in the Liverpool city centre, is a commercial property investment with 9% returns p.a. with 5 years assurance.

Unlike residential property investors, commercial property investors benefit from certain tax exemptions (T&C apply), allowing for higher returns on investment.

According to prominent research outfit Savills, investments in UK commercial property has risen 66% to £4.2 billion in February 2018 compared with the same month last year.

Savills states in its February Market in Minutes report that despite economic pressures from Brexit, investor appetite for UK property remains strong. In 2017, total investment into UK real estate reached £65.4 billion, representing a 26% increase on 2016’s annual total.

Unlike residential property investors, commercial property investors benefit from certain tax exemptions (T&C apply), allowing for higher returns on investment.

CEO of Savills UK and Europe, Mark Ridley, commented: “January’s volumes demonstrate that investors are still looking beyond Brexit and are happy to commit to the UK to secure prime property with secure income characteristics. Based upon current projections, driven by a downward shift in equivalent yields, we expect total returns for average UK commercial property to be around 7% this year.”

In its latest report, the Investment Property Forum (IPF) said the outlook for 2018 has improved over the three months since its last survey was conducted, with average rental and capital value growth rates increasing in virtually all sectors.

Its UK Consensus Forecasts report, which surveyed 23 property consultants and fund and investment management houses, showed that the rental value growth average forecast had risen to 0.8% from 0.4% three months ago.

Student property sector stays robust

Student property, as a subset of the commercial property sector, remains a popular investment, boasting a low requirement of capital but yielding high returns.

According to CBRE’s student accommodation index, between 2012 and 2016, annualised returns for the sector totalled an impressive 11.8%. This can be compared to the residential sector at a still respectable, but lower 7.8%, and commercial property as a whole, at 7.4%.

Places at UK’s higher education institutions remain in demand worldwide. EU and non-EU students are the fastest-growing segment, bringing a net benefit of £2.3 billion per annum to London’s economy supporting 60,000 jobs in the capital.

In 2015-16, there were almost half a million non-EU students in the UK, about one-fifth (19.2%) of the 2.3 million total. In the 2017/18 academic year, non-EU applications had risen by 2.2% even while EU applications had fallen ostensibly due to Brexit.

To date, there is a total of 1.7 million full time students in the UK. Of this number, 23% are foreign, bringing the growth of international students in the UK to a whopping 70% from 2006 to 2016.

23% of the 1.7 million fulltime students in UK are foreign. Above, HESA charts the largest international student nationalities in the UK over the past decade (Cushman & Wakefield).

The Government’s recent removal of the student cap will provide more spaces for the large number of foreign students applying to study in the UK, increasing demand for quality student accommodation.

New-build student developments like Natex in Liverpool and Bristol City House in Bristol continue to provide opportunities for the savvy investor thanks to their strategic location in the city centre and proximity to top universities.

UK care homes: fast-growing segment in commercial property sector

Care homes are another fast-growing segment of the commercial property sector. The UK is facing an aging population, with the threat of dementia becoming increasingly prevalent among the elderly. Patients suffering from dementia require specialized care, and living at a care home can ensure they have the best possible quality of life.

Julian Evans, Knight Frank’s Head of Healthcare said that the UK care homes market faces an imminent crisis due to a national shortage of beds. However, this crisis and acute undersupply of care homes has created opportunities for investors, and will continue to drive investor appetite in the coming years.

“The disparity of care bed supply and demand presents increasing opportunities for investors, and, combined with the fall in the sterling, has generated a truly global appetite for the sector.”

Research by ONS revealed that 1 in 4 people will be aged 65 years old in less than 30 years. Alzheimer’s Research states that 850,000 people live with dementia in the UK today. This figure is expected to balloon to two million by 2050. However, the supply of beds at care homes in the UK are not enough to meet this burgeoning demand.

Care home investments can offer up to 8% net-yield per annum for up to 25 years, as well as provide an exit clause or contractual buyback.

Got questions? If you’re interested in investing in UK commercial property, send us a comment or message below and we will get in touch with you!

Sources:

http://www.savills.co.uk/_news/article/72418/228196-0/2/2018/savills–uk-investment-rose-66–y-o-y-in-january

www.buyassociation.co.uk/2018/02/20/purpose-built-student-blocks-can-provide-healthy-returns-investors/

https://realassets.ipe.com/news/uks-2018-commercial-property-outlook-improves/10023400.article

http://www.ipf.org.uk/resourceLibrary/investment-property-forum-uk-consensus-forecasts–winter-2017-18–full-report.html

https://www.propertyfundsworld.com/2017/03/07/249343/crisis-uk-care-home-sector-provides-opportunities-developers-and-investors-says-kn

csiprop.com/the-top-investment-in-bristol/

csiprop.com/care-homes-investment-stand-asset-class/

UK Student Accommodation Report 2017/18, Cushman & Wakefield

By Ian Choong

CSI Prop proudly promotes international investment property with high yields at low risk. Our portfolio comprises residential and commercial property including student accommodation and carehomes, in cities across the United Kingdom (London, Luton, Manchester, Liverpool, Newcastle, York, Glasgow, Scotland; Sheffield, etc) and Australia (Melbourne, Perth, Brisbane). Our projects are concentrated in high-growth areas with great educational, infrastructural and job growth potentials. We aspire to make a difference in the lives of our clients by helping them achieve their investment goals through strong market research backed by third party experts and due diligence. 

Disclaimer: CSI Prop does not provide tax & legal advice and accepts no liability. Readers are encouraged to consult a qualified tax or legal advisor for a thorough review.

Need advice or clarification? Call us for more information and/or to find out about our projects! Hotline: 03-2162 2260